Natural Rubber Price Trends, Forecast, Chart, Prices and Index Q2 2026
Author : Nihal Negi | Published On : 12 Oct 2026
The Natural Rubber Price Trend showed a strong upward movement during the second quarter of 2026 as weather-related supply disruptions, steady demand from tire manufacturers, and higher transportation costs affected the global market.
Major producing countries in Southeast Asia experienced difficulties in collecting latex, which reduced the availability of raw materials. At the same time, buyers continued purchasing natural rubber to maintain their inventories and avoid supply shortages.
These conditions supported higher prices across domestic and international markets. The Natural Rubber Price Chart reflected a broad recovery during Q2 2026, with several producing and importing countries recording significant quarterly increases.
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Natural Rubber Price Trend in Q2 2026: Global Market Overview
The global natural rubber market remained firm throughout Q2 2026, mainly because supply was unable to keep pace with demand. Natural rubber is an important raw material for tire manufacturing, industrial rubber products, footwear, gloves, adhesives, and many other applications. Because these industries depend on a regular supply of raw materials, changes in production and transportation can quickly influence market prices.
During the quarter, weather conditions affected latex tapping activities across several Southeast Asian countries. Rainfall and unfavorable harvesting conditions reduced the amount of rubber available to processors and exporters.
When farmers cannot collect latex regularly, the quantity of raw material entering the market declines. This creates pressure on suppliers and often leads to higher offers for available material.
Demand from the tire industry also played an important role. Tire manufacturers continued to purchase natural rubber to support their production requirements. Buyers in several regions maintained regular procurement even as prices increased, as securing sufficient raw materials remained a priority.
Higher freight costs added further pressure to international prices. Importers had to consider transportation expenses alongside export quotations, insurance, and other landing costs. As a result, natural rubber became more expensive for buyers in several importing countries.
The Natural Rubber Price Index remained above Q1 2026 levels across the major markets covered in this assessment. Although harvesting conditions gradually improved toward the end of June, the additional supply was not sufficient to reverse the overall upward trend.
Natural Rubber Prices in India
India recorded a 15% increase in natural rubber prices during Q2 2026. The domestic price assessment for bulk latex with 60% dry rubber content (DRC), ex-Kottayam, reflected the impact of lower latex arrivals and steady demand from industrial buyers.
Kerala is an important natural rubber-producing region, and changes in its weather conditions can influence domestic availability. During the early part of Q2, unseasonal rainfall disrupted tapping activities in and around Kottayam. Farmers faced difficulties collecting latex regularly, which reduced the supply available to processors and other buyers.
At the same time, demand from glove manufacturers, adhesive producers, and latex-based product manufacturers remained steady. These industries require consistent raw material supplies, so buyers continued to procure rubber even when market offers became more expensive.
Limited spot availability encouraged buyers to replenish inventories at higher prices. In June 2026, natural rubber prices in India increased by a further 4%. Although improving weather supported tapping activity, healthy domestic demand continued to keep prices elevated.
Natural Rubber Prices in Indonesia
Natural rubber prices in Indonesia increased by 14% during Q2 2026. The export price assessment for TSR (SIR 20), FOB Jakarta, showed the effect of weather-related production difficulties and continued demand from international buyers.
Adverse weather reduced tapping activity across major producing regions, limiting the amount of rubber available for export. Producers therefore remained cautious about offering large spot volumes, particularly when harvesting conditions restricted fresh supply.
Demand from tire manufacturers in Asia and other overseas markets provided additional support. Buyers continued to procure material to meet their production needs, helping exporters maintain firm prices.
In June 2026, Indonesian natural rubber prices increased by another 4%. Although weather conditions began to improve, supply remained constrained, and the recovery in harvesting activity did not immediately result in a substantial increase in market availability.
Natural Rubber Prices in Malaysia
Malaysia recorded a 26% increase in natural rubber prices during Q2 2026, making it one of the strongest quarterly performers among the producing countries covered in this assessment. The bulk latex price assessment, with 60% DRC, FOB Johor, reflected limited latex collection and steady regional demand.
Weather-related disruptions affected latex collection during the quarter. With less raw material available, domestic processors had to compete for supplies, while export buyers continued to show interest in available volumes.
The combination of restricted availability and active procurement kept market offers high. In June 2026, natural rubber prices in Malaysia increased by a further 1%. Improved weather helped latex arrivals recover, slowing the pace of price increases. However, continued export demand prevented a significant decline in prices.
Natural Rubber Prices in Thailand
Thailand recorded a 15% increase in natural rubber prices during Q2 2026. The bulk latex export assessment, with 60% DRC, FOB Bangkok, remained supported by adverse weather conditions and strong demand from Asian tire manufacturers.
Heavy rainfall and other unfavorable harvesting conditions reduced latex collection in key producing regions. This limited the quantity of rubber available to exporters and reduced the flexibility of suppliers to meet additional orders.
International buyers continued to purchase material despite higher prices. Limited spot availability also strengthened suppliers' pricing positions, particularly when overseas demand remained consistent.
In June 2026, natural rubber prices in Thailand increased by another 7%. Continued rainfall disrupted harvesting, while exporters remained focused on meeting international orders. Because Thailand is an important supplier to several importing markets, its export prices also influenced costs in countries that depended on Thai material.
Natural Rubber Prices in Vietnam
Vietnam recorded a 27% increase in natural rubber prices during Q2 2026, placing it among the strongest-performing producing markets. The bulk latex export price assessment, with 60% DRC, FOB Saigon, reflected lower latex availability and strong demand from China and other Asian buyers.
Weather-related difficulties reduced harvesting activity and kept supply below seasonal expectations. Producers responded by maintaining firm export offers, while buyers continued to secure available material to meet their requirements.
Demand from regional markets supported prices throughout the quarter. When export demand remains healthy while production is restricted, suppliers generally have less pressure to reduce their offers.
In June 2026, natural rubber prices in Vietnam increased by a further 1%. Improved weather conditions supported latex collection and slowed the pace of price growth. However, steady export demand continued to prevent a meaningful market correction.
Natural Rubber Prices in the USA
Natural rubber prices in the USA increased by 16% during Q2 2026. The import price assessment for bulk latex with 60% DRC, CIF Houston, originating from Thailand, reflected higher export quotations, elevated freight costs, and steady procurement from tire manufacturers.
US buyers faced higher landed costs as Thai suppliers maintained firm offers amid limited availability. Transportation expenses also increased the overall cost of bringing rubber into the country.
Tire manufacturers continued purchasing raw materials to support their production requirements. Importers also replenished inventories to reduce the risk of supply interruptions. These factors helped sustain market prices despite the higher cost of procurement.
In June 2026, natural rubber prices in the USA increased by a further 6%. Thai export quotations remained firm, and the improvement in shipping conditions was not sufficient to offset the broader pressure from constrained supply and sustained demand.
Natural Rubber Prices in the Netherlands
The Netherlands recorded a 20% increase in natural rubber prices during Q2 2026. The import price assessment for bulk latex with 60% DRC, CIF Rotterdam, originating from Thailand, was influenced by higher export quotations and increased freight costs.
European tire manufacturers maintained regular procurement, supporting demand for imported natural rubber. Buyers also replenished inventories to ensure that production could continue without interruption.
Higher transportation expenses increased the landed cost of imported material. As a result, even when demand remained stable, buyers had to pay more to secure supplies.
In June 2026, natural rubber prices in the Netherlands increased by another 7%. Thai export prices continued to rise because weather-related supply constraints remained in place. This kept import costs elevated and prevented the market from moving toward lower price levels.
Natural Rubber Prices in Brazil
Brazil recorded a 27% increase in natural rubber prices during Q2 2026, representing the largest quarterly increase among the markets covered in this assessment. The import price assessment for bulk latex with 60% DRC, CIF Santos, originating from Thailand, reflected higher export offers, elevated freight costs, and firm international demand.
Brazilian buyers faced rising import expenses as the availability of natural rubber in Thailand remained restricted. Higher transportation costs added to the overall landed price, making imported material more expensive for domestic users.
Demand from tire manufacturers and other industrial rubber producers remained healthy. Buyers continued to procure supplies to meet production requirements, supporting import prices throughout the quarter.
In June 2026, natural rubber prices in Brazil increased by a further 5%. Thai export offers remained elevated, and continued supply constraints limited the scope for a price decline. The market therefore recorded a strong quarterly increase despite the higher cost of imported material.
Natural Rubber Prices in China
Natural rubber prices in China increased by 15% during Q2 2026. The import price assessment for bulk latex with 60% DRC, CIF Shanghai, originating from Thailand, reflected higher export quotations and increased transportation expenses.
Adverse weather in Thailand reduced rubber production and limited export availability. Since China relies on regular raw material supplies to support its tire and automotive industries, changes in Thai export prices had a direct influence on import costs.
Demand from tire manufacturers remained healthy, supported by continuing automotive production requirements. Buyers continued procuring natural rubber even as prices increased, helping maintain a firm market.
In June 2026, natural rubber prices in China increased by a further 7%. Thai export offers remained strong because supply was still restricted, while steady buying interest supported the market. As a result, Chinese import prices continued their upward movement toward the end of the quarter.
Natural Rubber Price Index: What Influenced the Market?
The Natural Rubber Price Index remained above Q1 2026 levels because several market factors supported prices at the same time.
Weather and seasonal supply: Unfavorable weather disrupted latex tapping and reduced the availability of fresh rubber. Even when conditions improved toward the end of June, production and collection did not immediately return to normal levels.
Tire manufacturing demand: Tire manufacturers remained important buyers across Asia, Europe, and the Americas. Their need to maintain production encouraged regular procurement despite rising costs.
Transportation expenses: Higher freight costs increased the landed cost of imported natural rubber. Import-dependent markets were particularly exposed to changes in export quotations and shipping expenses.
Inventory replenishment: Buyers continued to secure raw materials to protect their production schedules. This helped support demand even when market prices were already higher than in the previous quarter.
Differences between markets: Local production, import dependence, grade specifications, and logistics created different price movements across countries. For example, Malaysia and Vietnam recorded particularly strong quarterly increases, while Indonesia experienced a comparatively smaller rise.
Together, these factors explain why prices strengthened across multiple regions rather than in only one producing country.
Natural Rubber Price Forecast: What Could Happen Next?
The outlook for natural rubber will depend largely on weather conditions, harvesting activity, tire industry demand, and transportation costs. If rainfall becomes more favorable and tapping activity improves, additional latex could enter the market and reduce some of the pressure on supply.
However, better weather does not always lead to an immediate price decline. Producers need time to increase collection, and processors and exporters must rebuild available inventories. If demand remains steady during this period, prices may continue to receive support.
The tire manufacturing sector will remain an important factor. Strong production and regular raw material procurement could help maintain demand, while weaker industrial activity or slower purchasing could reduce upward pressure.
International freight rates will also influence importing countries. Lower transportation costs could ease landed prices in the USA, the Netherlands, Brazil, and China. On the other hand, continued supply restrictions in producing countries could keep export quotations firm.
For India, the direction of prices will depend on domestic latex arrivals, weather conditions in Kerala, and demand from rubber-based industries. For Southeast Asian exporters, the pace of harvesting recovery and export demand will be important. Importing countries will need to monitor both supplier quotations and transportation expenses.
The most reasonable expectation is that market conditions may become more balanced if supply improves, but the timing and extent of any price correction remain uncertain. Buyers should follow regional price assessments and inventory requirements rather than assume that a strong quarterly increase will automatically be followed by a decline.
The Natural Rubber Price Trend during Q2 2026 was strongly upward, driven by weather-related supply disruptions, firm tire manufacturing demand, higher freight costs, and inventory replenishment across major markets.
Vietnam and Brazil recorded the largest quarterly increases at 27%, followed by Malaysia at 26%, while India and China each recorded a 15% increase.
June brought some improvement in harvesting conditions, but supply remained restricted in several regions. Prices therefore continued to rise across all nine markets covered in this assessment, although the monthly increases varied.
Looking ahead, weather conditions, fresh latex availability, export demand, and transportation costs will determine whether the market continues to strengthen or moves toward more stable levels. Monitoring the Natural Rubber Price Chart and Natural Rubber Price Index can help manufacturers, importers, and procurement teams understand regional movements and make better-informed purchasing decisions.
Overall, natural rubber remains a market where changes in weather and industrial demand can quickly affect costs. A clear understanding of regional supply conditions and price movements will be essential for businesses managing raw material budgets in the coming quarters.
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About Price Watch™
Price Watch™ is an independent raw material price reporting agency that provides real-time price forecasts and data-driven insights into global raw material markets. Price-Watch™ specializes in tracking raw material prices, analyzing market trends. and delivering timely updates on plant shutdowns, supply disruptions, capacity expansions, and demand-supply dynamics. The Price-Watch™ platform empowers manufacturers, traders, and procurement professionals to make faster, smarter decisions. Leveraging AI-powered forecasting and over a decade of historical data, Price-Watch™ transforms market volatility into actionable opportunity.
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