Ethylene Price Trend Q3 2026 | Price Trends, Forecast, Chart, Prices and Index
Author : Nitin kumar | Published On : 04 Nov 2026
The Ethylene Price Trend in Q3 2026 showed a significant downward correction across major global markets after the sharp price increases recorded during the earlier conflict-driven energy and feedstock cost surge.
European domestic markets experienced the steepest declines, with prices falling by approximately 38% to 39%. Asian and Middle Eastern markets recorded quarterly decreases of around 16% to 21%, while Argentina and the USA also experienced considerable price reductions.
The correction was mainly influenced by easing energy costs, lower feedstock expenses, and cautious purchasing activity across the petrochemical industry. As production costs adjusted from their earlier elevated levels, suppliers reduced offers to attract buyers, while importers adopted need-based procurement strategies.
Changes in international export quotations also influenced delivered prices in import-dependent markets such as Argentina, China, Qatar, and Turkey.
September 2026 brought a mixed picture across international markets. Japan, Saudi Arabia, South Korea, China, Qatar, and Turkey recorded monthly price increases ranging from approximately 8% to 13%, supported by renewed Middle East tensions and higher crude oil and feedstock costs.
In contrast, European markets and Argentina declined by around 3%, while the USA recorded a smaller decrease of approximately 1%. This divergence highlighted the influence of regional supply conditions and international trade flows on the Ethylene Price Chart and Ethylene Price Index.
Global Ethylene Price Trend and Market Overview
The global Ethylene market experienced a broad price correction during Q3 2026. Prices across several regions moved lower as the extraordinary cost pressures associated with geopolitical tensions and energy market disruptions began to ease. Lower feedstock costs reduced production expenses, while buyers remained cautious about building inventories at higher price levels.
Regional differences were particularly visible between Europe, Asia, and North America. Belgium, Germany, and the Netherlands recorded the largest quarterly declines, reflecting a substantial correction in domestic trading prices. Asian export and import markets also weakened, although the extent of the decline varied depending on supplier quotations and regional procurement conditions.
International trade played an important role in shaping import prices. Softer US export quotations influenced Argentina, while lower South Korean offers affected China's import market. Similarly, Saudi Arabian export prices influenced delivered values in Qatar and Turkey.
By September, renewed geopolitical uncertainty and stronger feedstock costs supported a recovery in several Asian and Middle Eastern markets, while European prices continued to decline.
Regional Ethylene Price Trend Analysis
Argentina Ethylene Price Trend
In Q3 2026, Ethylene imported prices CIF Buenos Aires from the USA, with purity above 99%, declined by approximately 15% compared with the previous quarter.
The decrease mainly reflected lower US FOB export quotations, which passed through into Argentine import valuations. As origin prices corrected from their earlier elevated levels, suppliers adjusted offers downward, creating more favourable replacement costs for importers.
During September, Ethylene Prices in Argentina declined by a further 3%. Softer US export prices continued to influence delivered import values, while cautious procurement limited buying activity. Importers largely focused on immediate requirements instead of building additional inventories, keeping trading activity subdued and encouraging sellers to offer more competitive prices.
Belgium Ethylene Price Trend
Belgium's domestic Ethylene prices FD Antwerp, with purity above 99%, recorded a sharp decline of approximately 38% in Q3 2026. The market corrected significantly from the high levels recorded during the earlier energy and feedstock cost surge.
Easing energy expenses reduced production cost pressure, while cautious purchasing from downstream consumers weakened supplier pricing power.
The downward movement continued in September, when Ethylene prices declined by approximately 3%. Buyers maintained a conservative procurement approach and focused mainly on immediate consumption requirements. This limited purchasing activity encouraged suppliers to adjust their offers to attract demand, keeping the Belgian domestic market under pressure.
Germany Ethylene Price Trend
In Germany, domestic Ethylene prices FD Hamburg, with purity above 99%, decreased by approximately 38% during Q3 2026. The significant correction reflected lower energy-related production costs and weaker purchasing interest after the earlier conflict-driven price surge.
Buyers reduced procurement commitments as market participants reassessed their inventory requirements and waited for greater price stability.
In September 2026, German Ethylene prices declined by another 3%. Limited buying interest and cautious downstream procurement continued to influence domestic trading conditions. Sellers adjusted quotations to encourage transactions, while the broader European market correction maintained downward pressure on FD Hamburg prices.
Netherlands Ethylene Price Trend
The Netherlands recorded the steepest quarterly decline among the reported markets, with domestic Ethylene prices FD Rotterdam, purity above 99%, falling by approximately 39% in Q3 2026.
Prices corrected sharply as energy and feedstock cost pressures eased from their earlier peaks. Reduced purchasing interest also contributed to the downward movement, with buyers remaining careful about inventory accumulation.
The market continued to weaken in September, with prices declining by approximately 3%. Downstream buyers maintained need-based procurement, while sellers lowered offers to stimulate trading activity. The combination of softer production cost support and cautious market participation kept Rotterdam domestic valuations under pressure.
China Ethylene Price Trend
China's imported Ethylene prices CIF Shanghai from South Korea, with purity above 99%, declined by approximately 20% in Q3 2026. The reduction was mainly driven by lower South Korean FOB prices, which passed through into delivered import valuations. As export quotations corrected from their earlier elevated levels, Chinese importers benefited from lower replacement costs.
However, the market changed direction in September, when Ethylene prices in China increased by approximately 10%. Firmer South Korean export offers contributed to higher delivered prices, while active purchasing supported the recovery. Sellers maintained firmer quotations as market sentiment improved and routine procurement activity continued across the import market.
Japan Ethylene Price Trend
Japan's Ethylene export prices FOB Tokyo, with purity above 99%, declined by approximately 21% in Q3 2026. The market experienced a substantial correction after the earlier increase in energy and feedstock costs. Lower production cost pressure and reduced purchasing interest encouraged Japanese producers to adjust export offers downward.
In September 2026, prices recovered by approximately 13%. Renewed Middle East tensions and stronger crude oil prices increased concerns about feedstock costs, supporting a rise in producer quotations. Improved buying activity also helped strengthen export valuations, marking a clear change from the downward quarterly trend.
Qatar Ethylene Price Trend
Qatar's imported Ethylene prices CIF Hamad from Saudi Arabia, with purity above 99%, decreased by approximately 18% in Q3 2026. The decline reflected softer Saudi Arabian FOB export prices, which reduced delivered import valuations in Qatar. As origin prices corrected, importers received lower offers and the market remained under pressure.
In September, Ethylene prices in Qatar increased by approximately 8%. Higher Saudi Arabian export quotations passed through into import prices, while active buying supported the monthly recovery. Suppliers maintained firmer offers as market sentiment improved and procurement activity remained steady.
Saudi Arabia Ethylene Price Trend
Saudi Arabia's Ethylene export prices FOB Jeddah, with purity above 99%, declined by approximately 20% during Q3 2026.
The correction followed the earlier increase in energy and feedstock costs, as lower production cost pressure and cautious buying encouraged producers to reduce export quotations. Buyers remained selective, limiting procurement commitments while waiting for clearer market direction.
In September 2026, prices increased by approximately 10%. Renewed Middle East tensions and firmer crude oil prices raised concerns about feedstock expenses and regional supply conditions. Producers responded with higher offers, while improved buying interest supported the recovery in Saudi Arabian export prices.
South Korea Ethylene Price Trend
South Korean Ethylene export prices FOB Busan, with purity above 99%, declined by approximately 20% in Q3 2026. Prices moved lower as the earlier conflict-driven energy and feedstock cost surge eased. Producers reduced export offers in response to softer market conditions and cautious purchasing from international buyers.
The market recovered in September, with prices increasing by approximately 10%. Renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and firmer crude oil prices strengthened feedstock cost expectations. Higher producer offers and improved buying interest supported the monthly increase in South Korean export valuations.
Turkey Ethylene Price Trend
Turkey's imported Ethylene prices CIF Mersin from Saudi Arabia, with purity above 99%, declined by approximately 16% in Q3 2026. The decrease mainly reflected softer Saudi Arabian FOB prices, which passed through into Turkish import valuations. Lower origin prices reduced replacement costs and encouraged suppliers to revise their delivered offers.
In September, Ethylene prices in Turkey increased by approximately 9%. Firmer Saudi Arabian export quotations contributed to the rise in delivered prices, while steady procurement activity supported market sentiment. Importers accepted higher offers as international pricing conditions strengthened.
USA Ethylene Price Trend
In the USA, Ethylene export prices FOB Houston, with purity above 99%, declined by approximately 18% during Q3 2026. Prices corrected from the elevated levels recorded during the earlier energy and feedstock cost surge. Lower production cost pressure and cautious purchasing from international buyers encouraged producers to reduce export offers.
The downward movement continued in September, although at a slower pace, with prices declining by approximately 1%. Buyers remained cautious and focused on immediate requirements, limiting additional procurement. Sellers adjusted quotations to attract demand, keeping US export prices slightly lower despite the broader recovery seen in several international markets.
Ethylene Price Forecast and Market Outlook
The Ethylene Price Forecast for the coming period will depend on feedstock costs, energy market developments, production rates, and demand from downstream industries. Changes in crude oil and naphtha prices will remain important because they influence the cost structure of ethylene production across major regions.
Any renewed increase in energy prices could strengthen producer offers, while further cost reductions may extend the correction seen during Q3 2026.
Geopolitical developments will also remain a key factor for international market direction. Renewed tensions in the Middle East could increase concerns about energy supplies and transportation routes, potentially raising feedstock costs and supporting prices in Asian and Middle Eastern markets.
Improved regional stability, on the other hand, may reduce supply-related premiums and encourage more stable trading conditions.
In Europe, the direction of domestic prices will depend on production economics, energy expenses, and downstream purchasing activity. Belgium, Germany, and the Netherlands may remain sensitive to changes in operating costs and industrial demand. In Asia, Japanese and South Korean export prices will influence import-dependent markets such as China, Qatar, and Turkey. Argentina will continue to be affected by US export quotations, while the US market will depend on domestic supply conditions and international buying interest.
Overall, the Ethylene market may continue to show different price movements across regions as feedstock costs, export availability, and procurement requirements adjust. Tracking the Ethylene Price Trend, Price Chart, and Price Index will help market participants understand quarterly corrections, monthly recoveries, and changing regional price relationships.
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